1pm... T.S. Danny should not be considered at all a tropical storm. The bottom line is this, when the alleged low-level circulation is detached from the deep convection in a NON-SHEAR environment, and the 50kt flight level winds in the 18z RECON was located 150miles from the center of the alleged low-level circulation, but only a 20kt flight level winds 60miles from the center of circulation, AND not to mention the pressure is only 1007mb (hardly low enough in my mind to justify 50kt winds), this system to me is more of a synoptic feature than tropical. In fact, that low-level feature seems more a part of the upper-level trough feature just to its west, and the true circulation would reveal itself under the constant deep convection to its east.
Heck, that wave a few hundered miles off the Africa coast looks better defined than this garbage.
Now after the 5pm advisory, they are STILL calling this thing a tropical storm, although now they have lowered the winds to 45kts and also do not project it to become a hurricane in their forecast. Nonetheless, it still looks poorly organized. What makes little sense to me is how they have been wording their discussions. They try to justify it being a tropical storm, but treat it as if it were a tropical wave. An example is from the latest forecast discussion quote:
"REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION OF DANNY HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED TODAY...WITH STRONGER WINDS IN THE PREVIOUSLY WEAK SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. ASIDE FROM THAT...THE CYCLONE REMAINS VERY DISORGANIZED. THE MAIN CONVECTION IS IN A LINE 130-170 N MI EAST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER...AND THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE 100 N MI OR MORE FROM THE CENTER OVER THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE."
Hmm, from what I can recall the winds tend to get stronger as you approach the center of circulation, not the other way around. That is what we call a synoptic storm (i.e. Nor'Easter).
Anywho, I think I have done enough venting on this thing.
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